New Phyrexia, new metagame… So what’s new?
Taking second and third place at the SCG Orlando open, this two-card combo is the real deal. People will be playing it, so you must be capable of beating it. In theory, this deck weakens RUG as a choice, since lightning bolt doesn’t disrupt it and [card]Mana Leak[/card] doesn’t seem like enough against a deck packing seven discard spells alongside its own [card]Mana Leak[/card]s. There may be potential ways that RUG can evolve to improve its chances, including playing the combo itself, but whether this will be enough in the long run is something for metagame to decide.
Sword of War and Peace/Batterskull.
These comprise the main, if not sole, additions to the Caw-Blade archetype. They will no doubt assist greatly against the current swathe of aggressive decks. More importantly, Sword of WaP will be an important card in the Caw-Blade mirror and the metagame is already changing to compensate. It trumps both [card]Squadron Hawk[/card] and [card]Emeria Angel[/card], which I have been informed were crucial for protecting Jace.
I feel I can say all this with relative confidence, but now I must get down to the dirty work of guessing and theorizing. I welcome your comments on my analysis, at the end of this article I will update my BUG list for the coming PTQ season. Depending on how the list does over the weekend I will either make some adjustements or find something new to play.
Though powerful, Grixis Twin has a clear weakness which it is possible to exploit. Let’s begin with its three colour mana base. Much like storm combo decks in Legacy, Grixis Twin has a lightning fast kill backed up with filtering and disruption. However, this comes at a cost and the deck is weak to a well timed tectonic edge. It is possible for skilled pilots to play around [card]Tectonic Edge[/card], but only by drawing [card]Scalding Tarns[/card] or using Exarch to untap a red source with six mana in play. The first option is draw dependant, whilst the second option opens them up to a potential [card]Spell Pierce[/card] or [card]Mana Leak[/card].
[card]Tectonic Edge[/card] is good because it gets bypasses their disruption, but there is another card in the format that bypass their current discard suite: [card]Acidic Slime[/card]. Although weak to [card]Mana Leak[/card], [card]Acidic Slime[/card] cannot be hit by either [card]Duress[/card] or [card]Inquisition of Kozilek[/card], making it a fine choice and as a bonus it also destroys basic mountains and is reasonably good against Valakut and Caw-Blade. Using our own discard spells to force a Slime through and [card]Lotus Vobra[/card] to accelerate it out on turn 3, [card]Acidic Slime[/card] might prove to be a valuable tool in the match up.
Another way of bypassing the disruption package of Grixis Twin is to run too many cards that they need to answer. Adding [card]Mana Leak[/card], [card]Go for the Throat[/card] and even [card]Spreading Seas[/card] won’t hand you the match on a silver platter, but it will give you some tools to do battle with. After sideboard, a resolved [card]Memoricide[/card] on one of their combo pieces should make it an uphill battle for them to win. Again, a combination of mana acceleration and targeted discard spells should help to make this a reality. It also dodges [card]Inquisition of Kozilek[/card], which is nice.
Caw-blade is a bit like Faeries, if you think your brew can beat it consistently, you probably need to test against a better pilot. The Caw-Blade deck is changing though, with War and Peace and Grixis Twin in the Format, it seems like players have been adding black for [card]Go for the Throat[/card] and [card]Vampire Nighthawk[/card]. This is great news! Another three colour mana base to exploit! I also expect to see some straight blue white versions of the deck, packing four [card]Tectonic Edge[/card]s and multiple Jaces, following suite from Edgar Flores.
[card]Lotus Cobra[/card] really helps in this match up, especially against the blue white version and if plan to run some mana disruption, this will also help out against Dark-Blade. Even though [card]Go for the Throat[/card] is a card, I still plan to run [card]Consecrated Sphinx[/card] in my sideboard, if only to beat the blue-white version of Caw-Blade (trust me, it’s a house). One mana discard spells help, as does [card]Mana Leak[/card], [card]Creeping Tar Pit[/card] and [card]Explore[/card] (important Memo – this format is all about Jace). I never feel favoured against Caw-Blade, but they are tending to omit [card]Mortarpod[/card] and [card]Sword of Body and Mind[/card] in favour of [card]Batterskull[/card] and [card]Sword of War and Peace[/card] – this should help things somewhat.
Valakut and RUG are no longer tier 1 decks, but people will still be playing them (because they have the cards and new decks are expensive). I also expect to see Vampires, Boros and red deck wins, so I will need a plan against those decks. In Britain, I think we tend to see more Naya than we do in the states, so I need a plan against that deck too. In particular [card]Vengevine[/card] is a massive pain, even if it does get completely hosed by Valakut.
Let’s make a list!
4 [card]Lotus Cobra[/card]
2 [card]Acidic Slime[/card]
3 [card]Grave Titan[/card]
4 [card]Inquistion of Kozilek[/card]
2 [card]Mana Leak[/card]
3 [card]Go for the Throat[/card]
4 [card]Jace, the Mind Sculptor[/card]
1 [card]Garruk Wildspeaker[/card]
4 [card]Creeping Tar Pit[/card]
4 [card]Darkslick Shores[/card]
4 [card]Misty Rainforest[/card]
4 [card]Verdant Catacombs[/card]
2 [card]Halimar Depths[/card]
2 [card]Consecrated Sphinx[/card]
1 [card]Doom Blade[/card]
3 [card]Obstinate Baloth[/card]
2 [card]Precursor Golem[/card]
2 [card]Spreading Seas[/card]
Let me know what you think in the comments!